Showing posts with label Illinois football. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Illinois football. Show all posts

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Mercenary Weekend

First things first.  Happy Birthday, Tyler!

This business of betting on football can become pretty maddening.  Sitting at dead even after five weeks is no fun, though it's better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick, that is to say better than being negative.  TwoGun is fond of reminding that the bookmakers are reeeeealy good at what they do, and he is reeeealy correct.  He pointed out that after 4 weeks, the dogs v. favorites and overs v. unders was pretty close to a dead heat.  The linesetters are doing their job very well, now we just gotta do ours.  So, today, we blast away on some teams that are not our faves, but look like they'll make us some money.

Interesting concept, making money.

****  ILLINOIS -16 1/2 @ INDIANA
Saturday 1:30 on BTN
Unsubstantiated reports say that
there was a meeting at this
restaurant earlier this week that
had a major impact on the
setting of this week's wagers.
The meeting supposedly revolved
around a most excellent ghoulash.
It (the restaurant, not the ghoulash)
is not located in one of America's
most dangerous cities, click here
to see which burgs make the top 5.
Illinois is fresh off its final minute win in Champaign over Northwestern and the Illini have gone to 5-0 for the first time since the invention of cheap shots.  This is the rare air that we guard against, the  point at which a team is playing at a level to which they are unaccustomed, and thus run out of O2.  I don't think this is going to happen to Illinois for several reasons.  First, they're playing the Indiana Hoosiers, who have once again this year failed to improved their lot in life and appear destined to bumble along for the balance of the season.  Second, I think Nathan Scheelhaase is a very fine QB, and he is improving week to week, too bad for the Hoosiers.  Third, I think the Illini are sufficiently arrogant to sail through the minimal challenge of this week's opponent, i.e. too in love with themselves to run out of gas in Bloomington.  This game opened at IL -14, quickly climbed to -16 1/2 (where I got on), and then dropped back to -14.  Ya pays yer money and ya takes yer chances, this is no place for the faint of heart.

***  MICHIGAN -7 @ NORTHWESTERN
Saturday 6:00 p.m. on BTN
November 4, 2000:  the Wolverines and Wildcats engaged in the single most entertaining football game that I have every seen, pounding each other senseless well into a Saturday night in Evanston until Northwestern prevailed 54-51.  This year will not feature that level of drama.  Michigan is rising, while Northwestern is clawing at keeping its year from turning into a washout.  It is a beast to bet against your favorite team, but I think there will be no storybook ending for the 'Cats this Saturday.   Too bad; might as well make a buck on it.  Here's the best of from back when, Brent Musberger is the perfect voice for this game.


** AIR FORCE +15 @ NOTRE DAME 
Saturday  2:30 on NBC
Big balls Saturday continues with a wager against the source of my great discontent, the USB.  If you've been around this space for any length of time, you grok my enmity for the University of South Bend, and you are familiar with my incredible track record of landing 180 degrees across from whatever the final result the Domers put up. It's time to conquer the curse.  The Air Force prevailed by a single point against Navy last week, while USB shellacked the Purdue Boilermakers.  My reasoning here is that the Air Force plays every minute, every play, and they will be able to keep this one close.  



*  OKLAHOMA -9 1/2 vs  TEXAS
Saturday  11:00 a.m. on ABC
This is the Red River Rivalry game, and 92,000 will bear witness in the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.  Oklahoma has slid a little from its pinnacle ranking, while the 'Horns, unranked in the preseason, have climbed to #11.  Line 'em up and watch the boys pound each other, this is going to be fun.

In degenerate gambler news, last week some chap who invests at the same place that we do strung together a 22 team parlay (across 4 or 5 different sports) and turned $55 into $26K.  Not the biggest parlay $$ win ever, but the most teams ever put together in a parlay at that establishment.   To think that we spit the bit on 3 Dog Night and 4Star 4 Dogs. 
Props to Illinois' Coach Zook for acting quickly to publicly discipline his kick-in-the-balls linebacker.  It's a no-win situation for the already unlovable Illinois squad, and Zook made the right call...he had little choice, as the Big Ten gave its endorsement of the punishment.  Put another way, the conference said "if the coach hadn't, we would have".

That's the message for taoday's wagers...if we didn't, someone else would have.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Short Takes and Week 5 Picks

  • Oklahoma State receiver Justin Blackmon, that's my new favorite player.  To find out why, click here.
  • My one word review of the Potawatomi Casino in Milwaukee : "dank".                            
  • Q. What's across the street from Marquette University?
  • A. The dank.
  • I'm getting over Ozzie Guillen pretty fast.  My rate of recovery is directly related to his revelation that it's all about the money.
  • If you have any pangs of conscience about our wagering hobby, reference Ozzie Guillen.
  • The second episode of Two and a Half Men in its new incarnation was about half as good as the first.
  • The first episode of Two and a Half Men in its new incarnation wasn't that good.
  • Let us play.  Two strong match ups and two battles of the inept.  The pageantry of autumn!
****  New Mexico State  -1 1/2 @ New Mexico 
Saturday 7:00 p.m.  MTN Network
This is Sweet Sue, pictured here in honor
of the Northwestern vs Illinois game, the
winner of which was formerly awarded
custody of the Sweet Sioux trophy.  The
Sweet Sioux was a tomahawk on a plaque,
an exquisite old relic that was among the
finest of all the rivalry game prizes It was
replaced by the Land of Lincoln trophy,
a rather uninspired bit of hardware that
features a stovepipe hat on a wooden base.
There is really no reason for presenting
this photo here other than that I really
liked it when I stumbled across it. The
play on words that I used as justification
for posting the photo is a transparent
ploy to legitimize my choice. Ha!
This is 1-3 vs. 0-4, hardly the stuff of legendary showdowns.  New Mexico State--the Aggies-- beat Minnesota in Week 2 for its lone win.  New Mexico went to OT last weekend before submitting to mighty Sam Houston State.  The Lobos will go down again this weekend.

***  #16  USF -2 1/2 @ Pitt
Thursday 7:00 p.m. ESPN
The high flying Bulls of the University of South Florida share the spotlight on Thursday evening with the Pitt Panthers.  USF is 4-0, its most notorious victory of the season coming on opening weekend @ USB (then Ball State,Florida A&M and UTEP).  Pitt is 2-2 with wins over the Buffalo Bulls (ack, foreshadowing?) and the Maine Bears in the first two weeks of the season followed by losses to Iowa and USB. Pitt's been looking much better, and the Panthers have a schizzy history for us.  USF is ripe for a letdown.  All that considered, I'm still picking the Bulls.

**  Akron @ Eastern Michigan -9 
Saturday Noon TV TBA
The Zips are hapless.  They're 1-3, getting pasted by their first three opponents before beating up VMI last week.  Eastern Michigan is also not so good.  They beat a couple insubstantial opponents to open the season, then got slapped around pretty well when they met Michigan and Penn State.  The play here is that "not so good" trumps "hapless". 



*  #14 Texas A&M -3  @ #18 Arkansas
Saturday 11:00 a.m. ESPN
Such a tough one to pick.  A&M is 2-1, Arkansas is 3-1.  Arkansas just got beat by Alabama while A&M is coming off a one point loss to Oklahoma State.  This should be a great game.

Lots of fun match ups to see this weekend:  Northwestern @ Illinois (11:00 a.m. ESPN2), Alabama @ Florida (7:00 p.m. CBS), Nebraska @ Wisconsin (7:00 p.m. ABC).