Thursday, September 3, 2009

Update the Opening Lines

There's been some movement on the lines for our four featured contests. There's likely to be some more, but it won't happen until kickoff is imminent; that's when the big hitters take the big swings. My guess is that the moves are going to reinforce our selections, that is, the prices will become less favorable and the dogs will be doggier.

**** LA Monroe @ Texas -40
6:00 p.m. Saturday
Opened at 36, immediately jumped to 40 (where we got on), and sits now at 41. This is such a big spread that it's not likely to go more than a point or a point and a half higher.
Update: Moved to 42 on Friday mornng.


*** Akron @ Penn State -26.5
11:00 a.m. Saturday
The line stands at 27.5, a point up from our spot. PSU has received a lot of coverage, and despite the icon at the helm and all the good and fair that he supposedly stands for, Akron will be very sad on Saturday night. I expect this line to go to 30 -- and still be a cover.

** Maryland @ Cal -20.5
9:00 p.m. Saturday
This is Two Gun's PPP: Pete's Perfect Pick. He has researched Cal's opening game ATS performance back to the dark ages and wants to assure the world that the money is good. I think it will be fine, and the line has picked up to 21.5 since we bought in.

* LSU -15 @ Washington
9:30 p.m. Saturday
I'm feelin' fine about this one. The line has moved to 17.5 already and it will probably move a point and a half further, maybe two, by game time. I think you're fine at 17.5 if you've been a malingerer.

Let the games begin.

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